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Map Handicap: FURIA (-2.5) vs Nemiga (+2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $21.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

27.0¢
FURIA
73.0¢
Nemiga
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection83Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%
24h sample:13 trades$17.4K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 80%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 51s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNemiga$10.3K@ 74¢·vtcchampion52

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Nemiga SETUP
What the tape says

Nemiga pressure: $14.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$14.5K
6h
−$13.2K
tracked
$17.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 85% · priority 61

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nemiga or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 3 or more maps than Nemiga in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nemiga".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Nemiga and FURIA in the PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 3 or more maps than Nemiga in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nemiga". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 31, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
norrisfan2 linked markets · $28.2K gross
vtcchampion522 linked markets · $13.8K gross
meoooow2 linked markets · $6.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor Nemiga. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNemiga · $14.5K
6hNemiga · $13.2K
24hNemiga · $14.5K

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. Nemiga fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current27.0¢
VWAP 24h26.25¢▲ above by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d26.25¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$17.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNemiga$10.3K@ 74.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—6 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
28.5¢$628.2Kpriority71Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
53.5¢$222.3Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
39.5¢$98.8Kpriority77Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 3 Winner
40.5¢$10.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
35.5¢$8.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
32.0¢$4.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
71.0¢$2.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
42.5¢$2.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

vtcchampion52Nemiga$10.3K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.