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Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi

● quote 35s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $669.4KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi

Indicative prices · 35s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Tallon Griekspoor
99.95¢
Benjamin Bonzi
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets15Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:157 trades$314.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Benjamin Bonzi · $12.7K net·13 wallets·$84.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBenjamin Bonzi$40.4K@ 100¢·TennisAce1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Tallon Griekspoor pressure: $50.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$50.3K
6h
+$41.2K
tracked
$314.3K

13 verified profitable wallets: Benjamin Bonzi · $12.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +30.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 30.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tallon Griekspoor or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Benjamin Bonzi in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Benjamin Bonzi. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Tallon Griekspoor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $20.3K gross
0x427c…4eb92 linked markets · $60 gross
0x24ce…da463 linked markets · $7 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Benjamin Bonzi@ 70.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp1h INVALIDATED -21.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Tallon Griekspoor@ 47.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Tallon Griekspoor DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $2.7K → $1.2K · 28s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tallon Griekspoor; negative values favor Benjamin Bonzi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTallon Griekspoor · $50.3K
6hTallon Griekspoor · $41.2K
24hTallon Griekspoor · $42.3K

Tallon Griekspoor price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tallon Griekspoor price. Benjamin Bonzi fills are converted to the complementary Tallon Griekspoor probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h36.64¢▼ below by 36.6pp
VWAP 7d36.64¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tallon Griekspoor price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$19.7K
60¢
$16.0K
55¢
$16.5K
50¢
$29.9K
45¢
$20.1K
40¢
$39.2K
35¢
$38.0K
30¢
$76.3K
25¢
$2.8K
20¢
$1.7K
15¢
$5.6K
10¢
$52
5¢
$3.5K
0¢
← now
$45.0K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBenjamin Bonzi$40.4K@ 99.9¢
TennisAce10xa3e1…2b3b
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYTallon Griekspoor$13.8K@ 30.24¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$26.4K@ 65.51¢
TennisAce10xa3e1…2b3b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTallon Griekspoor$14.8K@ 64.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTallon Griekspoor$11.6K@ 65.63¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Benjamin Bonzi (-1.5) vs Tallon Griekspoor (+1.5)
0.45¢$645priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi
99.95¢$633priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Griekspoor vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 22.5
99.95¢$71priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tallon Griekspoor vs. Benjamin Bonzi: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.95¢$12priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Griekspoor vs. Bonzi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Griekspoor vs. Bonzi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Griekspoor vs. Bonzi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Griekspoor vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 23.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TennisAce1Benjamin Bonzi$26.4K
BUY VWAP 65.51¢·1 fill
kkookkooTallon Griekspoor$21.0K
BUY VWAP 56.39¢·2 fills
LuzzzerTallon Griekspoor$18.1K
BUY VWAP 54.87¢·2 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighBenjamin Bonzi$17.9K
BUY VWAP 49.29¢·7 fills
yesmateBenjamin Bonzi$17.8K
BUY VWAP 59.33¢·3 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseBenjamin Bonzi$15.9K
BUY VWAP 59.93¢·5 fills
0x076d…8d4cTallon Griekspoor$14.3K
BUY VWAP 53.65¢·5 fills
KkunnTallon Griekspoor$13.8K
BUY VWAP 30.24¢·1 fill
robustmstTallon Griekspoor$11.8K
BUY VWAP 30.64¢·5 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseTallon Griekspoor$10.3K
BUY VWAP 34.50¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.