PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs NEXVOID (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $56.6KEvent: Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs NEXVOID (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Alter Ego
0.05¢
NEXVOID
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:131 trades$3.3K trackedsource coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alter Ego · $117 net·8 wallets·$511 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$428
6h
−$216
tracked
$3.3K

8 verified profitable wallets: Alter Ego · $117 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alter Ego" if Alter Ego win the match against NEXVOID.

•This market will resolve to "NEXVOID" if NEXVOID win the match against Alter Ego.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Final match between Alter Ego and NEXVOID in the DFRAG Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alter Ego" if Alter Ego win the match against NEXVOID. This market will resolve to "NEXVOID" if NEXVOID win the match against Alter Ego. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 31, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
testBruno23 linked markets · $394 gross
0x89b5…30d53 linked markets · $143 gross
dfdeath2 linked markets · $133 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Alter Ego DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $137 → $234 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alter Ego; negative values favor NEXVOID. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNEXVOID · $428
6hNEXVOID · $216
24hNEXVOID · $216

Alter Ego price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alter Ego price. NEXVOID fills are converted to the complementary Alter Ego probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h63.24¢▲ above by 36.7pp
VWAP 7d63.24¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Alter Ego price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$722
90¢
$0
85¢
$136
80¢
$77
75¢
$43
70¢
$142
65¢
$705
60¢
$207
55¢
$3
50¢
$10
45¢
$256
40¢
$272
35¢
$69
30¢
$304
25¢
$230
20¢
$38
15¢
$36
10¢
$48
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Games Total: O/U 2.5
—$49priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: AE (-1.5) vs NEXVOID (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Alter Ego (-3.5) vs NEXVOID (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NEXVOID (-6.5) vs Alter Ego (+6.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: NEXVOID (-1.5) vs Alter Ego (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.