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Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot

● quote 346 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.0KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot

Indicative prices · 346 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

67.5¢
Novak Djokovic
32.5¢
Valentin Vacherot
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%
24h sample:2 trades$5.3K trackedsource coverage 59%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 25 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNovak Djokovic$5.3K@ 67¢·madkkee

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Novak Djokovic pressure: $5.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.3K
6h
+$5.3K
tracked
$5.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 346 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 25 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Novak Djokovic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Valentin Vacherot in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Novak Djokovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd9c9…66862 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Novak Djokovic; negative values favor Valentin Vacherot. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNovak Djokovic · $5.3K
6hNovak Djokovic · $5.3K
24hNovak Djokovic · $5.3K

Novak Djokovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Novak Djokovic price. Valentin Vacherot fills are converted to the complementary Novak Djokovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current67.5¢
VWAP 24h67.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d67.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Novak Djokovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$5.3K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Novak Djokovic (-2.5) vs Valentin Vacherot (+2.5)
52.5¢$30priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Djokovic vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 22.5
56.5¢$14priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot
60.5¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Djokovic vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Djokovic vs. Vacherot: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Djokovic vs. Vacherot: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Novak Djokovic vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 2.5
42.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.