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Set Handicap: Karen Khachanov (-1.5) vs Denis Shapovalov (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Denis ShapovalovLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $13.3KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov
0.0¢
Karen Khachanov payout
100.0¢
Denis Shapovalov payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:5 trades$9.4K trackedsource coverage 71%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 71 min agoofficial metadata 52 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDenis Shapovalov$9.4K@ 100¢·pelik

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Denis Shapovalov. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-09 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karen Khachanov" if Karen Khachanov wins by 2 or more sets than Denis Shapovalov, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Denis Shapovalov."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Karen Khachanov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Denis Shapovalov."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Denis Shapovalov in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karen Khachanov" if Karen Khachanov wins by 2 or more sets than Denis Shapovalov, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Denis Shapovalov." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Karen Khachanov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Denis Shapovalov." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 53m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 53m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
MaxFomo2 linked markets · $6 gross
0xe1f4…f5a02 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karen Khachanov; negative values favor Denis Shapovalov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDenis Shapovalov · $9.4K
6hDenis Shapovalov · $9.4K
24hDenis Shapovalov · $9.4K

Karen Khachanov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karen Khachanov price. Denis Shapovalov fills are converted to the complementary Karen Khachanov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h0.14¢▼ below by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d0.14¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karen Khachanov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
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80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
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35¢
$11
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$9.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.