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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Sofia Kenin

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $27.5KEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Sofia Kenin

Indicative prices · 2 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

71.5¢
Leylah Fernandez
28.5¢
Sofia Kenin
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$3.9K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1084 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Leylah Fernandez · $1.1K net·3 wallets·$1.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLeylah Fernandez$1.2K@ 68¢·dv-pm

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$3.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Leylah Fernandez · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 1084 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Sofia Kenin in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Sofia Kenin. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kenin' if Sofia Kenin advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Leylah Fernandez UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $1.4K · 110s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Leylah Fernandez; negative values favor Sofia Kenin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLeylah Fernandez · $0
6hLeylah Fernandez · $0
24hLeylah Fernandez · $3.9K

Leylah Fernandez price VWAP

Volume-weighted Leylah Fernandez price. Sofia Kenin fills are converted to the complementary Leylah Fernandez probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current71.5¢
VWAP 24h69.96¢▲ above by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d68.17¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Leylah Fernandez price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$1.6K
65¢
$3.5K
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Fernandez vs. Kenin: Match O/U 21.5
—$187priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fernandez vs. Kenin: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Leylah Fernandez vs. Sofia Kenin: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fernandez vs. Kenin: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Leylah Fernandez (-1.5) vs Sofia Kenin (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fernandez vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fernandez vs. Kenin: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fernandez vs. Kenin: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.