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Courmayeur: Noma Noha Akugue vs Alina Charaeva

● quote 568 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $308.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $131.4KEvent: Courmayeur: Noma Noha Akugue vs Alina Charaeva

Indicative prices · 568 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.0¢
Noma Noha Akugue
99.9¢
Alina Charaeva
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$66.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 582 min agoofficial metadata 565 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alina Charaeva · $51.0K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$51.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlina Charaeva$40.9K@ 83¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$66.7K

9 verified profitable wallets: Alina Charaeva · $51.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 568 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 582 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 565 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Noma Noha Akugue and Alina Charaeva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noma Noha Akugue' if Noma Noha Akugue advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Noma Noha Akugue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alina Charaeva@ 84.0¢11h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Alina Charaeva UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $44.9K → $26.1K · 45s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Noma Noha Akugue; negative values favor Alina Charaeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNoma Noha Akugue · $0
6hNoma Noha Akugue · $0
24hAlina Charaeva · $51.8K

Noma Noha Akugue price VWAP

Volume-weighted Noma Noha Akugue price. Alina Charaeva fills are converted to the complementary Noma Noha Akugue probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h18.38¢▼ below by 17.4pp
VWAP 7d18.38¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Noma Noha Akugue price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$4.7K
35¢
$74
30¢
$1
25¢
$8.1K
20¢
$573
15¢
$45.7K
10¢
$7
5¢
$5.0K
0¢
← now
$2.7K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlina Charaeva$40.9K@ 83.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 11 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Alina Charaeva (-1.5) vs Noma Noha Akugue (+1.5)
—$84priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Akugue vs. Charaeva: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Noma Noha Akugue vs. Alina Charaeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Akugue vs. Charaeva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Akugue vs. Charaeva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Noma Noha Akugue vs Alina Charaeva
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Akugue vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Akugue vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Alina Charaeva$40.9K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.