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Taranto: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbausch

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $257Event: Taranto: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbausch

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Raul Brancaccio
—
Kilian Feldbausch
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets57Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$95 trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 687 min agoofficial metadata 383 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kilian Feldbausch · $77 net·2 wallets·$89 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$95

2 verified profitable wallets: Kilian Feldbausch · $77 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 687 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Brancaccio and Kilian Feldbausch in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Kilian Feldbausch. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Raul Brancaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raul Brancaccio; negative values favor Kilian Feldbausch. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaul Brancaccio · $0
6hRaul Brancaccio · $0
24hKilian Feldbausch · $83

Raul Brancaccio price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raul Brancaccio price. Kilian Feldbausch fills are converted to the complementary Raul Brancaccio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h30.08¢
VWAP 7d30.08¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raul Brancaccio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$6
30¢
$55
25¢
$34
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbausch
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Brancaccio vs. Feldbausch: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Brancaccio vs. Feldbausch: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Brancaccio vs. Feldbausch: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Brancaccio vs. Feldbausch: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbausch
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Brancaccio vs. Feldbausch: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Kilian Feldbausch (-1.5) vs Raul Brancaccio (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.