PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)

● quote 19 min ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: 4 daysLiquidity: $8.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $70.1KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Indicative prices · 19 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

30.5¢
T1
69.5¢
Karmine Corp
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution72Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%
24h sample:6 trades$23.3K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 824 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1$21.0K@ 34¢·skadii

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$23.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 19 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 824 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 wins 3 or more games than Karmine Corp in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Karmine Corp".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and T1 in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 wins 3 or more games than Karmine Corp in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Karmine Corp". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
skadii2 linked markets · $49.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1; negative values favor Karmine Corp. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hT1 · $0
6hT1 · $0
24hT1 · $19.0K

T1 price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 price. Karmine Corp fills are converted to the complementary T1 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current30.5¢
VWAP 24h33.54¢▼ below by 3.0pp
VWAP 7d33.58¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

T1 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$23.6K
25¢
$2.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYT1$21.0K@ 33.92¢
skadii0x1c29…167e
🐋—about 19 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
64.5¢$47.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
49.95¢$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov
—$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
—$805.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.15¢$729.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
72.5¢$594.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
24.5¢$564.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
61.5¢$446.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

skadiiT1$21.0K
BUY VWAP 33.92¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.