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Rockets vs. Wizards

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $12.9KEvent: Rockets vs. Wizards

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

75.5¢
Rockets
24.5¢
Wizards
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%
24h sample:20 trades$294 trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$23
6h
−$56
tracked
$294

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-16 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets".

•If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Rockets and Wizards, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
JoeyAroyyOO2 linked markets · $580 gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $132 gross
0xbfd8…eeca2 linked markets · $38 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rockets; negative values favor Wizards. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWizards · $23
6hWizards · $56
24hWizards · $98

Rockets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rockets price. Wizards fills are converted to the complementary Rockets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current75.5¢
VWAP 24h77.25¢▼ below by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d77.25¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rockets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$23
75¢
← now
$271
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
46.5¢$40.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
49.5¢$9.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
—$764priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5
—$300priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
—$205priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
—$38priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5
—$31priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
—$26priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.