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Fuerza Regia vs. Astros de Jalisco

● quote 730 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $416Event: Fuerza Regia vs. Astros de Jalisco

Indicative prices · 730 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

45.5¢
Fuerza Regia
54.5¢
Astros de Jalisco
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%
24h sample:1 trades$18 trackedsource coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 346 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$18
tracked
$18

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 730 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 346 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-10 02:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.lnbp.mx/
Outcome meaning

•If the Fuerza Regia win, the market will resolve to "Fuerza Regia".

•If the Astros de Jalisco win, the market will resolve to "Astros de Jalisco".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming LNBP game between Astros de Jalisco and Fuerza Regia, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 9:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Fuerza Regia win, the market will resolve to "Fuerza Regia". If the Astros de Jalisco win, the market will resolve to "Astros de Jalisco". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fuerza Regia; negative values favor Astros de Jalisco. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFuerza Regia · $0
6hAstros de Jalisco · $18
24hAstros de Jalisco · $18

Fuerza Regia price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fuerza Regia price. Astros de Jalisco fills are converted to the complementary Fuerza Regia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h53.0¢▼ below by 7.5pp
VWAP 7d52.69¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fuerza Regia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$18
45¢
← now
$0
40¢
$1
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.