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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $251.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Katie Volynets
99.95¢
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets42Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:191 trades$363.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 28s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Katie Volynets · $125.3K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$301.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKatie Volynets$27.5K@ 56¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Aliaksandra Sasnovich pressure: $37.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$37.5K
6h
+$114.8K
tracked
$363.0K

12 verified profitable wallets: Katie Volynets · $125.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +12.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Executable SELL price moved 12.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aliaksandra Sasnovich or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 07:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Volynets and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Katie Volynets. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wingwingwin2 linked markets · $6.4K gross
0xdbdd…a5de2 linked markets · $1.6K gross
0xefae…9d8e2 linked markets · $10 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Katie Volynets29m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Katie Volynets@ 12.0¢41m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Aliaksandra Sasnovich1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Katie Volynets@ 62.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h INVALIDATED -51.0pp
Latest book event: Katie Volynets UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $9.8K → $515 · 52s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katie Volynets; negative values favor Aliaksandra Sasnovich. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAliaksandra Sasnovich · $37.5K
6hKatie Volynets · $114.8K
24hKatie Volynets · $114.7K

Katie Volynets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katie Volynets price. Aliaksandra Sasnovich fills are converted to the complementary Katie Volynets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h34.77¢▼ below by 34.7pp
VWAP 7d34.77¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katie Volynets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$10.7K
55¢
$85.1K
50¢
$3.9K
45¢
$13.9K
40¢
$28.8K
35¢
$38.6K
30¢
$34.6K
25¢
$22.4K
20¢
$60.7K
15¢
$8.2K
10¢
$19.0K
5¢
$27.5K
0¢
← now
$9.6K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKatie Volynets$12.9K@ 20.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKatie Volynets$27.5K@ 56.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAliaksandra Sasnovich$12.7K@ 63.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Volynets vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 22.5
0.05¢$7.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
45.5¢$1.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Katie Volynets vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich: Total Sets O/U 2.5
41.0¢$201priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Volynets vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 21.5
—$53priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (-1.5) vs Katie Volynets (+1.5)
—$29priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Volynets vs. Sasnovich: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Volynets vs. Sasnovich: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Volynets vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Katie Volynets$212.5K
BUY VWAP 28.29¢·44 fills
0x1610…ae49Aliaksandra Sasnovich$33.9K
BUY VWAP 57.02¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesAliaksandra Sasnovich$18.3K
BUY VWAP 90.68¢·11 fills
LuzzzerKatie Volynets$10.5K
BUY VWAP 46.67¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.