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Cali: Sofia Costoulas vs Marina Bassols Ribera

● quote 109 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $28.2KEvent: Cali: Sofia Costoulas vs Marina Bassols Ribera

Indicative prices · 109 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Sofia Costoulas
99.9¢
Marina Bassols Ribera
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets93Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:51 trades$12.9K trackedsource coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 150 min agoofficial metadata 114 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marina Bassols Ribera · $2.3K net·5 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarina Bassols Ribera$6.3K@ 88¢·BoundlessLove

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$12.7K
tracked
$12.9K

5 verified profitable wallets: Marina Bassols Ribera · $2.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 109 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 150 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-10 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Costoulas and Marina Bassols Ribera in the Cali, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Costoulas' if Sofia Costoulas advances against Marina Bassols Ribera. This market will resolve to 'Marina Bassols Ribera' if Marina Bassols Ribera advances against Sofia Costoulas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sofia Costoulas; negative values favor Marina Bassols Ribera. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSofia Costoulas · $0
6hMarina Bassols Ribera · $12.7K
24hMarina Bassols Ribera · $12.7K

Sofia Costoulas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sofia Costoulas price. Marina Bassols Ribera fills are converted to the complementary Sofia Costoulas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h10.45¢▼ below by 10.3pp
VWAP 7d10.45¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sofia Costoulas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$428
25¢
$481
20¢
$11
15¢
$616
10¢
$6.3K
5¢
$2.7K
0¢
← now
$2.3K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Costoulas vs. Ribera: Match O/U 21.5
—$11priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Costoulas vs. Ribera: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Sofia Costoulas (-1.5) vs Marina Bassols Ribera (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Marina Bassols Ribera (-1.5) vs Sofia Costoulas (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Costoulas vs. Ribera: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Costoulas vs. Ribera: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Sofia Costoulas vs Marina Bassols Ribera
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sofia Costoulas vs. Marina Bassols Ribera: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.