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Set Handicap: Solana Sierra (-1.5) vs Selena Janicijevic (+1.5)

● quote 132 min ago
Sports→Crypto→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $122Event: Cali: Selena Janicijevic vs Solana Sierra

Indicative prices · 132 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Solana Sierra
—
Selena Janicijevic
20.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:1 trades$54 trackedsource coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 463 min agoofficial metadata 109 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$54

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
20.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 132 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 463 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Solana Sierra" if Solana Sierra wins by 2 or more sets than Selena Janicijevic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Selena Janicijevic."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Solana Sierra can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Selena Janicijevic."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Solana Sierra and Selena Janicijevic in the Cali, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Solana Sierra" if Solana Sierra wins by 2 or more sets than Selena Janicijevic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Selena Janicijevic." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Solana Sierra can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Selena Janicijevic." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Solana Sierra; negative values favor Selena Janicijevic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSolana Sierra · $0
6hSolana Sierra · $0
24hSelena Janicijevic · $54

Solana Sierra price VWAP

Volume-weighted Solana Sierra price. Selena Janicijevic fills are converted to the complementary Solana Sierra probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h55.86¢
VWAP 7d55.86¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Solana Sierra price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$54
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Janicijevic vs. Sierra: Match O/U 23.5
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Janicijevic vs. Sierra: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.