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Bratislava 2: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Sorger

● quote 13s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $639.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $203.1KEvent: Bratislava 2: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Sorger

Polymarket indicative prices · 13 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

58.5¢
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
41.5¢
Sebastian Sorger
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:57 trades$94.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sebastian Sorger · $38.4K net·6 wallets·$38.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard$18.5K@ 61¢·kuwkuw

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Sebastian Sorger pressure: $4.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.3K
6h
−$6.3K
tracked
$94.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: Sebastian Sorger · $38.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +41.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 41.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sebastian Sorger or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 11:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Sebastian Sorger in the Bratislava 2, Slovakia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Sebastian Sorger. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Sorger' if Sebastian Sorger advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard@ 59.0¢11m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard@ 66.0¢18m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $2.3K → $168 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard; negative values favor Sebastian Sorger. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSebastian Sorger · $4.3K
6hSebastian Sorger · $6.3K
24hSebastian Sorger · $6.3K

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price VWAP

Volume-weighted Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price. Sebastian Sorger fills are converted to the complementary Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h57.02¢▲ above by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d57.02¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$2.2K
90¢
$40
85¢
$2.2K
80¢
$2.0K
75¢
$14
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$28.1K
55¢
← now
$24.9K
50¢
$27.9K
45¢
$200
40¢
$21
35¢
$23
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$5.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard$18.5K@ 61.32¢
kuwkuw0x7ee9…aa69
🐋—19 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kuwkuwGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard$33.3K
BUY VWAP 60.60¢·4 fills
0x076d…8d4cSebastian Sorger$23.5K
BUY VWAP 47.96¢·4 fills
WoaifacaiSebastian Sorger$11.9K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.