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Wuerzburg vs. FC Bayern Munchen

Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.7KEvent: Wuerzburg vs. FC Bayern Munchen

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Wuerzburg
—
FC Bayern Munchen
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$41 trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 283 min agoofficial metadata 74 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FC Bayern Munchen · $37 net·2 wallets·$37 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$6
tracked
$41

2 verified profitable wallets: FC Bayern Munchen · $37 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 2%.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.easycredit-bbl.de/en/
Outcome meaning

•If the Wuerzburg win, the market will resolve to "Wuerzburg".

•If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Germany BBL game between Wuerzburg and FC Bayern Munchen, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Wuerzburg win, the market will resolve to "Wuerzburg". If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Wuerzburg; negative values favor FC Bayern Munchen. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWuerzburg · $0
6hFC Bayern Munchen · $6
24hFC Bayern Munchen · $41

Wuerzburg price VWAP

Volume-weighted Wuerzburg price. FC Bayern Munchen fills are converted to the complementary Wuerzburg probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h17.52¢
VWAP 7d17.52¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Wuerzburg price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$41
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.