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Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci

● quote 128 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $61.0KEvent: Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci

Indicative prices · 128 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Matej Dodig
0.8¢
Michal Krajci
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$13.3K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 163 min agoofficial metadata 135 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Matej Dodig · $3.6K net·2 wallets·$3.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatej Dodig$2.3K@ 89¢·LightParadox

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$5.6K
tracked
$13.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Matej Dodig · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 128 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 163 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Michal Krajci in the Bratislava 2, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Michal Krajci. This market will resolve to 'Michal Krajci' if Michal Krajci advances against Matej Dodig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Matej Dodig UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $55.9K → $11.0K · 70s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Matej Dodig; negative values favor Michal Krajci. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatej Dodig · $0
6hMatej Dodig · $5.6K
24hMatej Dodig · $5.6K

Matej Dodig price VWAP

Volume-weighted Matej Dodig price. Michal Krajci fills are converted to the complementary Matej Dodig probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h88.8¢▲ above by 11.1pp
VWAP 7d88.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Matej Dodig price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8
90¢
$3.5K
85¢
$7.9K
80¢
$2.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Matej Dodig (-1.5) vs Michal Krajci (+1.5)
—$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dodig vs. Krajci: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dodig vs. Krajci: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dodig vs. Krajci: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Matej Dodig (-5.5) vs Michal Krajci (+5.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Matej Dodig vs. Michal Krajci: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dodig vs. Krajci: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.