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Florida State vs. Pittsburgh

● quote 11s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 23 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $27.2KEvent: Florida State vs. Pittsburgh

Indicative prices · 11s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

38.5¢
Florida State
61.5¢
Pittsburgh
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly6Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%
24h sample:7 trades$16.4K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 60%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPittsburgh$12.6K@ 62¢·Pwaddler

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$29
6h
+$69
tracked
$16.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 80% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Less than 23h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Pittsburgh, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $2.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Florida State; negative values favor Pittsburgh. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh · $29
6hFlorida State · $69
24hPittsburgh · $16.2K

Florida State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Florida State price. Pittsburgh fills are converted to the complementary Florida State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h38.01¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d38.01¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Florida State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$16.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPittsburgh$12.6K@ 62.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 10 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 53.5
46.5¢$3.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5
52.5¢$67priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Florida State (-10.5)
14.5¢$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pittsburgh (-5.5)
43.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pittsburgh (-4.5)
45.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Florida State (-1.5)
37.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 67.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 57.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PwaddlerPittsburgh$16.2K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.