PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: UCLA (-10.5)

● quote 20s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $24.6KEvent: Illinois vs. UCLA

Indicative prices · 20s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

48.5¢
UCLA
51.5¢
Illinois
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly26Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%
24h sample:6 trades$11.6K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUCLA$10.0K@ 48¢·FeedTheBigBird

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$200
6h
+$11.2K
tracked
$11.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game by 11 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Illinois".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Illinois and UCLA, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Illinois". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor UCLA; negative values favor Illinois. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIllinois · $200
6hUCLA · $11.2K
24hUCLA · $11.2K

UCLA price VWAP

Volume-weighted UCLA price. Illinois fills are converted to the complementary UCLA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d48.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

UCLA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$25.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUCLA$10.0K@ 48.0¢
FeedTheBigBird0x84ec…72c1
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Illinois vs. UCLA
22.5¢$645priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 49.5
45.5¢$271priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Illinois (-5.5)
13.0¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 51.5
41.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: UCLA (-13.5)
41.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 45.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: UCLA (-17.5)
30.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 37.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PwaddlerUCLA$14.3K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills
FeedTheBigBirdUCLA$11.4K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.