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Spread: Morgan State (-3.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Norfolk State vs. Morgan State

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Morgan State
—
Norfolk State
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:3 trades$612 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 905 min agoofficial metadata 1981 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$612

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 905 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Morgan State" if Morgan State win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Norfolk State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Norfolk State and Morgan State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Morgan State" if Morgan State win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Norfolk State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Morgan State; negative values favor Norfolk State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMorgan State · $0
6hMorgan State · $0
24hNorfolk State · $579

Morgan State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Morgan State price. Norfolk State fills are converted to the complementary Morgan State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h43.97¢
VWAP 7d43.97¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Morgan State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$612
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Norfolk State vs. Morgan State
—$20priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norfolk State vs. Morgan State: O/U 59.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norfolk State vs. Morgan State: O/U 57.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Morgan State (-14.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norfolk State vs. Morgan State: O/U 61.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norfolk State vs. Morgan State: O/U 55.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norfolk State vs. Morgan State: O/U 51.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norfolk State vs. Morgan State: O/U 49.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.