Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)

● quote 54s ago

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $27.0KEvent: Stanford vs. Virginia Tech

Indicative prices · 54s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

53.5¢

Virginia Tech

46.5¢

Stanford

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:5 trades$7.8K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 372 min agoofficial metadata 23 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Virginia Tech · $6.3K net·3 wallets·$6.3K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVirginia Tech$4.5K@ 52¢·keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

tracked

$7.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Virginia Tech · $6.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 372 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-15 00:30 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Virginia Tech" if Virginia Tech win the game by 17 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Stanford".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Stanford and Virginia Tech, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Virginia Tech" if Virginia Tech win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Stanford". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh3 linked markets · $11.2K gross

HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $2.5K gross

MadridTime2 linked markets · $1.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Virginia Tech; negative values favor Stanford. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hVirginia Tech · $0

6hVirginia Tech · $0

24hVirginia Tech · $7.8K

Virginia Tech price VWAP

Volume-weighted Virginia Tech price. Stanford fills are converted to the complementary Virginia Tech probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current53.5¢

VWAP 24h51.21¢▲ above by 2.3pp

VWAP 7d51.21¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Virginia Tech price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

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65¢

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55¢

50¢

← now

$6.3K

45¢

$1.5K

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5¢

0¢

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Stanford vs. Virginia Tech

12.5¢$7.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 59.5

44.5¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 47.5