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Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 15 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.2KEvent: Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston

Polymarket indicative prices · 5 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

46.5¢
Kennesaw State
53.5¢
Sam Houston
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$2.8K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 495 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kennesaw State · $2.2K net·2 wallets·$2.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKennesaw State$2.2K@ 47¢·HomeRunHazard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$2.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Kennesaw State · $2.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 495 minutes old.
  • •Less than 15h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kennesaw State" if Kennesaw State win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sam Houston".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Kennesaw State and Sam Houston, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Kennesaw State" if Kennesaw State win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sam Houston". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kennesaw State; negative values favor Sam Houston. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKennesaw State · $0
6hKennesaw State · $0
24hKennesaw State · $2.8K

Kennesaw State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kennesaw State price. Sam Houston fills are converted to the complementary Kennesaw State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h47.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d47.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kennesaw State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$2.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Sam Houston (-3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 53.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 43.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 55.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Kennesaw State (-1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 49.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 63.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.