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Spread: Wisconsin (-19.5)

● quote 10s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 7 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $58.1KEvent: Rutgers vs. Wisconsin

Indicative prices · 10s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.5¢
Wisconsin
50.5¢
Rutgers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority42Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%
24h sample:7 trades$28.6K trackedsource coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWisconsin$9.7K@ 50¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Wisconsin pressure: $6.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.2K
6h
+$28.5K
tracked
$28.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 42

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Wisconsin or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 21:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game by 20 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Rutgers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 7 at 4:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game by 20 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Rutgers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $23.8K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $8.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Wisconsin; negative values favor Rutgers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWisconsin · $6.2K
6hWisconsin · $28.5K
24hWisconsin · $28.5K

Wisconsin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Wisconsin price. Rutgers fills are converted to the complementary Wisconsin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h50.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d50.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Wisconsin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$28.5K
45¢
← now
$70
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Rutgers vs. Wisconsin
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Rutgers vs. Wisconsin: O/U 47.5
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Spread: Wisconsin (-18.5)
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Spread: Wisconsin (-21.5)
41.5¢$333priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rutgers vs. Wisconsin: O/U 37.5
72.5¢$94priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiWisconsin$20.7K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.