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Spread: Boise State (-15.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.5KEvent: Boise State vs. Colorado State

Polymarket indicative prices · 10 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.5¢
Boise State
50.5¢
Colorado State
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:1 trades$4.2K trackedsource coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 159 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYColorado State$4.2K@ 50¢·CharityStripe

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$4.2K
tracked
$4.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 159 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game by 16 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 7 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Boise State; negative values favor Colorado State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBoise State · $0
6hColorado State · $4.2K
24hColorado State · $4.2K

Boise State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Boise State price. Colorado State fills are converted to the complementary Boise State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h50.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d50.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Boise State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.2K
45¢
← now
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Boise State vs. Colorado State
86.5¢$42.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Boise State (-31.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boise State vs. Colorado State: O/U 67.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Boise State (-26.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Boise State (-35.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colorado State (-20.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boise State vs. Colorado State: O/U 49.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Boise State (-9.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.