Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $11.9KEvent: Mavericks vs. Spurs

Polymarket indicative prices · 3 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

53.5¢
Spurs
46.5¢
Mavericks
—
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets0execution0priority0data 56%
24h sample:5 trades$3.0K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 282 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpurs$1.5K@ 51¢·Gongsij

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$3
tracked
$3.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 282 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 02:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 12 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Spurs, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $3.4K gross
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $1.5K gross
0xe5a5…f1c62 linked markets · $18 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hSpurs · $0
6hSpurs · $3
24hSpurs · $3.0K

Spurs price VWAP

Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h50.58¢▲ above by 2.9pp
VWAP 7d50.58¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

Loading…

Spurs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$3.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
49.5¢$32.2Kpriority0
Mavericks vs. Spurs
16.5¢$25.0Kpriority0
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
—$1.4Kpriority0
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
—$415priority0
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5
—$8priority0
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
—$3priority0
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
—$3priority0
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
——priority0

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.