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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $160.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $447.6KEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

73.5¢
Talia Gibson
26.5¢
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets90Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:185 trades$165.9K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aliaksandra Sasnovich · $11.9K net·16 wallets·$13.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTalia Gibson$7.6K@ 60¢·jtwyslljy

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Talia Gibson SETUP
What the tape says

Talia Gibson pressure: $3.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.4K
6h
+$9.5K
tracked
$165.9K

16 verified profitable wallets: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · $11.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 64

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Talia Gibson or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 07:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Talia Gibson and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gibson' if Talia Gibson advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Talia Gibson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc0da…b9d92 linked markets · $148 gross
DCAAA2 linked markets · $140 gross
lmcaimiku2 linked markets · $120 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Talia Gibson UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $14.3K → $24 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Talia Gibson; negative values favor Aliaksandra Sasnovich. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTalia Gibson · $3.4K
6hTalia Gibson · $9.5K
24hTalia Gibson · $7.5K

Talia Gibson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Talia Gibson price. Aliaksandra Sasnovich fills are converted to the complementary Talia Gibson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.5¢
VWAP 24h33.21¢▲ above by 40.3pp
VWAP 7d33.21¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Talia Gibson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.0K
55¢
$13.1K
50¢
$1.6K
45¢
$9.2K
40¢
$18.8K
35¢
$44.2K
30¢
$22.2K
25¢
$8.1K
20¢
$18.5K
15¢
$4.3K
10¢
$20.0K
5¢
$3.9K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
99.95¢$8.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (-1.5) vs Talia Gibson (+1.5)
0.1¢$2.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gibson vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 21.5
99.95¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Talia Gibson vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.95¢$230priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gibson vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 22.5
98.95¢$145priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gibson vs. Sasnovich: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (-1.5) vs Talia Gibson (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gibson vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 23.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstTalia Gibson$34.8K
BUY VWAP 36.80¢·15 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighAliaksandra Sasnovich$12.6K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·2 fills
jtwyslljyTalia Gibson$11.1K
BUY VWAP 50.25¢·3 fills
jtwyslljyAliaksandra Sasnovich$11.0K
BUY VWAP 75.60¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.