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Game Spread: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Arthur Rinderknech (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Arthur RinderknechLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.8KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Arthur Rinderknech
0.0¢
Mattia Bellucci payout
100.0¢
Arthur Rinderknech payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$1.9K trackedsource coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 125 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Rinderknech$1.9K@ 52¢·0000.

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Arthur Rinderknech. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-11 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Mattia Bellucci" if Mattia Bellucci wins 1.5 or more total games than Arthur Rinderknech in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arthur Rinderknech".

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Mattia Bellucci could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Arthur Rinderknech".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Mattia Bellucci" if Mattia Bellucci wins 1.5 or more total games than Arthur Rinderknech in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arthur Rinderknech". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Mattia Bellucci could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Arthur Rinderknech". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $104 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mattia Bellucci; negative values favor Arthur Rinderknech. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMattia Bellucci · $0
6hArthur Rinderknech · $1.9K
24hArthur Rinderknech · $1.9K

Mattia Bellucci price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mattia Bellucci price. Arthur Rinderknech fills are converted to the complementary Mattia Bellucci probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▼ below by 48.0pp
VWAP 7d48.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mattia Bellucci price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
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75¢
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65¢
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60¢
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55¢
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50¢
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45¢
$1.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
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30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
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15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
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0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Mattia Bellucci vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$75priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bellucci vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 22.5
—$54priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Mattia Bellucci (+1.5)
—$32priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Mattia Bellucci vs Arthur Rinderknech
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bellucci vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bellucci vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bellucci vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bellucci vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.