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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $47Event: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Sorana Cirstea
—
NO
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%
24h sample:1 trades$1 trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 255 min agoofficial metadata 1142 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1
tracked
$1

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sorana Cirstea and Mary Stoiana in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Mary Stoiana. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Sorana Cirstea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sorana Cirstea; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSorana Cirstea · $0
6hSorana Cirstea · $1
24hSorana Cirstea · $1

Sorana Cirstea price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sorana Cirstea price. NO fills are converted to the complementary Sorana Cirstea probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h78.0¢
VWAP 7d78.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sorana Cirstea price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$7
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Cirstea vs. Stoiana: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cirstea vs. Stoiana: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cirstea vs. Stoiana: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sorana Cirstea vs. Mary Stoiana: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cirstea vs. Stoiana: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cirstea vs. Stoiana: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.