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Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold

● quote 113 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $62.8KEvent: Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold

Indicative prices · 113 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Nishesh Basavareddy
2.9¢
Mika Brunold
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:44 trades$23.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 146 min agoofficial metadata 123 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nishesh Basavareddy · $19.6K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$19.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNishesh Basavareddy$12.0K@ 98¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$17.5K
tracked
$23.6K

8 verified profitable wallets: Nishesh Basavareddy · $19.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 113 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 146 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nishesh Basavareddy and Mika Brunold in the Bratislava 2, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Mika Brunold. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nishesh Basavareddy UP 4.7pp · near-book depth $12.2K → $10.7K · 49s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nishesh Basavareddy; negative values favor Mika Brunold. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNishesh Basavareddy · $0
6hNishesh Basavareddy · $17.5K
24hNishesh Basavareddy · $17.5K

Nishesh Basavareddy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nishesh Basavareddy price. Mika Brunold fills are converted to the complementary Nishesh Basavareddy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h92.21¢▲ above by 7.7pp
VWAP 7d92.21¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nishesh Basavareddy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.4K
90¢
$4.9K
85¢
$2.1K
80¢
$211
75¢
$24
70¢
$3.0K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNishesh Basavareddy$12.0K@ 98.46¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Nishesh Basavareddy vs. Mika Brunold: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$250priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Basavareddy vs. Brunold: Match O/U 21.5
—$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Basavareddy vs. Brunold: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Nishesh Basavareddy (-3.5) vs Mika Brunold (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Basavareddy vs. Brunold: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Nishesh Basavareddy (-1.5) vs Mika Brunold (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Basavareddy vs. Brunold: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseNishesh Basavareddy$12.0K
BUY VWAP 98.46¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.