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Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $30.5KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

38.5¢
Luca Van Assche
61.5¢
Learner Tien
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection60Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$42.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Learner Tien · $20.8K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$20.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLearner Tien$13.4K@ 64¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Learner Tien SETUP
What the tape says

Learner Tien pressure: $23.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$23.4K
6h
−$25.4K
tracked
$42.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Learner Tien · $20.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 72

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Learner Tien or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Learner Tien in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Luca Van Assche. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luca Van Assche; negative values favor Learner Tien. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLearner Tien · $23.4K
6hLearner Tien · $25.4K
24hLearner Tien · $25.4K

Luca Van Assche price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luca Van Assche price. Learner Tien fills are converted to the complementary Luca Van Assche probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h37.09¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d37.09¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Luca Van Assche price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$3.2K
35¢
← now
$38.8K
30¢
$5
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLearner Tien$13.4K@ 64.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Learner Tien (-1.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+1.5)
39.0¢$376priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
33.0¢$119priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Luca Van Assche vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 2.5
38.5¢$38priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Learner Tien (-3.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+3.5)
45.0¢$36priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Tien: Match O/U 21.5
57.0¢$14priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Tien: Match O/U 22.5
52.5¢$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Tien: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Tien: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Learner Tien$13.4K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.