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Spread: Celtics (-12.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $58.9KEvent: Bucks vs. Celtics

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

47.5¢
Celtics
52.5¢
Bucks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets15Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:13 trades$35.3K trackedsource coverage 60%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Celtics · $5.2K net·4 wallets·$35.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBucks$7.6K@ 57¢·ropetard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Celtics pressure: $8.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$8.7K
6h
+$5.1K
tracked
$35.3K

4 verified profitable wallets: Celtics · $5.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 80% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Celtics or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 13 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Bucks and Celtics, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 13 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Bucks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ropetard5 linked markets · $88.5K gross
VeryLucky8885 linked markets · $44.6K gross
quavoo4 linked markets · $34.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor Bucks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCeltics · $8.7K
6hCeltics · $5.1K
24hCeltics · $5.1K

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. Bucks fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h45.3¢▲ above by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d45.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$19.8K
40¢
$15.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Bucks vs. Celtics
17.5¢$347.9Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
54.5¢$70.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
61.5¢$46.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
44.5¢$26.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
44.5¢$16.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
58.5¢$11.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
—$5.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ropetardBucks$14.8K
BUY VWAP 55.14¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.