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Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech

● quote 15s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $289.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $509.9KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech

Indicative prices · 15s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

69.5¢
Ben Shelton
30.5¢
Arthur Rinderknech
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:167 trades$166.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arthur Rinderknech · $6.0K net·11 wallets·$10.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBen Shelton$11.1K@ 69¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Ben Shelton SETUP
What the tape says

Ben Shelton pressure: $10.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.2K
6h
+$21.0K
tracked
$166.6K

11 verified profitable wallets: Arthur Rinderknech · $6.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 57

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ben Shelton or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Arthur Rinderknech in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4c47…83e72 linked markets · $400 gross
0x0849…24972 linked markets · $30 gross
0xefae…9d8e2 linked markets · $10 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Ben Shelton UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $7.2K → $116.1K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ben Shelton; negative values favor Arthur Rinderknech. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBen Shelton · $10.2K
6hBen Shelton · $21.0K
24hBen Shelton · $21.0K

Ben Shelton price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ben Shelton price. Arthur Rinderknech fills are converted to the complementary Ben Shelton probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current69.5¢
VWAP 24h53.02¢▲ above by 16.5pp
VWAP 7d53.02¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ben Shelton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$19.8K
65¢
← now
$49.5K
60¢
$7.4K
55¢
$4.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$5.8K
40¢
$27.1K
35¢
$46.4K
30¢
$6.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBen Shelton$11.1K@ 68.94¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—33 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MadridTimeArthur Rinderknech$12.5K
BUY VWAP 61.86¢·7 fills
kkookkooBen Shelton$11.1K
BUY VWAP 68.94¢·1 fill
redvinnyArthur Rinderknech$11.1K
BUY VWAP 58.83¢·7 fills
MadridTimeBen Shelton$10.6K
BUY VWAP 44.06¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.