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Iona Gaels vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $10.7KEvent: Iona Gaels vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)

Polymarket indicative prices · 17s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.25¢
Iona Gaels
98.75¢
TCU Horned Frogs
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection95Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$1.1K trackedsource coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 25 min agoofficial metadata 17s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTCU Horned Frogs$1.1K@ 98¢·-JB-

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

TCU Horned Frogs pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.1K
6h
−$1.1K
tracked
$1.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: TCU Horned Frogs · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 25 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from TCU Horned Frogs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-10 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CWBB game between Iona Gaels and TCU Horned Frogs, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iona Gaels; negative values favor TCU Horned Frogs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTCU Horned Frogs · $1.1K
6hTCU Horned Frogs · $1.1K
24hTCU Horned Frogs · $1.1K

Iona Gaels price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iona Gaels price. TCU Horned Frogs fills are converted to the complementary Iona Gaels probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.25¢
VWAP 24h2.38¢▼ below by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d2.38¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iona Gaels price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.