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Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry

● quote 37s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $24.5KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry

Indicative prices · 37s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

44.5¢
Rinky Hijikata
55.5¢
Tomas Etcheverry
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:31 trades$9.8K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTomas Etcheverry$5.8K@ 56¢·88M

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Tomas Etcheverry pressure: $3.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.4K
6h
−$9.0K
tracked
$9.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tomas Etcheverry or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Tomas Etcheverry in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Tomas Etcheverry. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Etcheverry' if Tomas Etcheverry advances against Rinky Hijikata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rinky Hijikata; negative values favor Tomas Etcheverry. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTomas Etcheverry · $3.4K
6hTomas Etcheverry · $9.0K
24hTomas Etcheverry · $8.8K

Rinky Hijikata price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rinky Hijikata price. Tomas Etcheverry fills are converted to the complementary Rinky Hijikata probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h44.08¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d44.08¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rinky Hijikata price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$521
40¢
← now
$9.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Rinky Hijikata vs. Tomas Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5
41.0¢$36priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hijikata vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 22.5
55.0¢$11priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Tomas Etcheverry (-0.5) vs Rinky Hijikata (+0.5)
53.0¢$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hijikata vs. Etcheverry: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
37.0¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Tomas Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Rinky Hijikata (+1.5)
33.5¢$1priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hijikata vs. Etcheverry: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hijikata vs. Etcheverry: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hijikata vs. Etcheverry: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.