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Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $19.9KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

66.5¢
Casper Ruud
33.5¢
Nuno Borges
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection38Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%
24h sample:17 trades$6.2K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 65 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCasper Ruud$2.1K@ 67¢·roodbaard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Casper Ruud pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.4K
6h
+$3.4K
tracked
$6.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 65 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Casper Ruud or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Nuno Borges in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Nuno Borges. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Casper Ruud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Casper Ruud; negative values favor Nuno Borges. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCasper Ruud · $2.4K
6hCasper Ruud · $3.4K
24hCasper Ruud · $3.5K

Casper Ruud price VWAP

Volume-weighted Casper Ruud price. Nuno Borges fills are converted to the complementary Casper Ruud probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current66.5¢
VWAP 24h66.76¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d66.76¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Casper Ruud price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$6.2K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Nuno Borges (+1.5)
45.0¢$445priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Casper Ruud vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 2.5
38.0¢$218priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 21.5
61.0¢$43priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 22.5
51.0¢$23priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-2.5) vs Nuno Borges (+2.5)
56.0¢$20priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges
64.0¢$14priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 23.5
43.5¢$11priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges
61.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.