Spread: Celtics (-11.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $5.9KEvent: Celtics vs. Hornets

Polymarket indicative prices · 8 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

42.5¢

Celtics

57.5¢

Hornets

—

Spread

anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%

24h sample:1 trades$2.4K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 40 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCeltics$2.4K@ 42¢·quavoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Celtics pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

+$2.4K

tracked

$2.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?

—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
•Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
•Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
•Observed tape is 40 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Celtics or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-07 00:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 12 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Celtics and Hornets, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $6.4K gross

quavoo2 linked markets · $6.2K gross

mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $3.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor Hornets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hCeltics · $2.4K

6hCeltics · $2.4K

24hCeltics · $2.4K

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. Hornets fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current42.5¢

VWAP 24h42.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp

VWAP 7d42.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

← now

$2.4K

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

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Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

—$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 206.5

—$830priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5

—$387priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.