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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $217.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $692.4KEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Claire Liu
0.05¢
Alexandra Eala
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets40Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:219 trades$215.9K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Claire Liu · $16.0K net·9 wallets·$39.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLClaire Liu$13.9K@ 73¢·Luzzzer

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Alexandra Eala pressure: $7.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.4K
6h
−$8.0K
tracked
$215.9K

9 verified profitable wallets: Claire Liu · $16.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexandra Eala or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Alexandra Eala in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Alexandra Eala. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Eala' if Alexandra Eala advances against Claire Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SigorJabson4 linked markets · $6.9K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $1.2K gross
0xf898…e7202 linked markets · $4 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Claire Liu UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.5K → $31.2K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Claire Liu; negative values favor Alexandra Eala. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexandra Eala · $7.4K
6hAlexandra Eala · $8.0K
24hAlexandra Eala · $6.5K

Claire Liu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Claire Liu price. Alexandra Eala fills are converted to the complementary Claire Liu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h60.37¢▲ above by 39.6pp
VWAP 7d60.37¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Claire Liu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$24.0K
90¢
$6.4K
85¢
$1.0K
80¢
$6.4K
75¢
$6.1K
70¢
$51.1K
65¢
$24.5K
60¢
$2.8K
55¢
$3.9K
50¢
$4.2K
45¢
$2.5K
40¢
$27.7K
35¢
$14.4K
30¢
$39.3K
25¢
$1.6K
20¢
$3
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLClaire Liu$13.9K@ 72.8¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Liu vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5
0.05¢$5.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Alexandra Eala (-3.5) vs Claire Liu (+3.5)
0.05¢$4.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
34.0¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Claire Liu vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5
41.0¢$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Liu vs. Eala: Match O/U 22.5
45.5¢$209priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Liu vs. Eala: Match O/U 23.5
42.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
0.55¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
47.5¢$709.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

VenusianClaire Liu$26.5K
BUY VWAP 70.50¢·9 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighClaire Liu$24.4K
BUY VWAP 52.81¢·10 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighAlexandra Eala$16.0K
BUY VWAP 51.89¢·15 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.