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Spread: Clippers (-2.5)

● quote 577 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $43Event: Pelicans vs. Clippers

Indicative prices · 577 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

41.5¢
Clippers
58.5¢
Pelicans
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:1 trades$61 trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 413 min agoofficial metadata 408 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$61

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 577 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 413 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 408 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Clippers" if the Clippers win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Pelicans and Clippers, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Clippers" if the Clippers win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
JoeyAroyyOO4 linked markets · $35.2K gross
0xf559…f4622 linked markets · $33.9K gross
ComingBack2 linked markets · $5.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clippers; negative values favor Pelicans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hClippers · $0
6hClippers · $0
24hClippers · $61

Clippers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clippers price. Pelicans fills are converted to the complementary Clippers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h42.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d42.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clippers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$61
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Pelicans vs. Clippers
52.5¢$72.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
50.5¢$52.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
48.5¢$30.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
50.5¢$28.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
45.5¢$27.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
43.5¢$22.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
40.0¢$7.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
—$760priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.