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Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $47.7KEvent: Jazz vs. Timberwolves

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.5¢
Timberwolves
48.5¢
Jazz
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$22.9K trackedsource coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 44s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Timberwolves · $15.0K net·2 wallets·$15.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTimberwolves$9.8K@ 49¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Timberwolves pressure: $5.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.1K
6h
+$17.6K
tracked
$22.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Timberwolves · $15.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Timberwolves or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game by 12 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Jazz".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Jazz and Timberwolves, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Timberwolves" if the Timberwolves win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Jazz". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ComingBack2 linked markets · $6.8K gross
mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $3.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Timberwolves; negative values favor Jazz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTimberwolves · $5.1K
6hTimberwolves · $17.6K
24hTimberwolves · $13.5K

Timberwolves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Timberwolves price. Jazz fills are converted to the complementary Timberwolves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h49.72¢▲ above by 1.8pp
VWAP 7d49.72¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Timberwolves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$9.1K
45¢
$13.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Jazz vs. Timberwolves
15.5¢$42.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5
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Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
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Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)
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Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
48.5¢$2.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
39.5¢$516priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
28.0¢$409priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5
35.0¢$391priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.