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Set 2 Winner: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.1KEvent: BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Thiago Agustin Tirante
—
Jaume Munar
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%
24h sample:1 trades$200 trackedsource coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 150 min agoofficial metadata 91 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$200
tracked
$200

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Thiago Agustin Tirante” if Thiago Agustin Tirante wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jaume Munar” if Jaume Munar wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jaume Munar in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Thiago Agustin Tirante” if Thiago Agustin Tirante wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jaume Munar” if Jaume Munar wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1dd0…6f962 linked markets · $378 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Agustin Tirante; negative values favor Jaume Munar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Agustin Tirante · $0
6hThiago Agustin Tirante · $200
24hThiago Agustin Tirante · $200

Thiago Agustin Tirante price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Agustin Tirante price. Jaume Munar fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Agustin Tirante probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h56.34¢
VWAP 7d56.34¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Agustin Tirante price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$200
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.