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Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Menelaos Efstathiou

Sports→TennisSettlement: Felix GillLiquidity: $118.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $115.1KEvent: Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Menelaos Efstathiou
100.0¢
Felix Gill payout
0.0¢
Menelaos Efstathiou payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:72 trades$51.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 642 min agoofficial metadata 544 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Felix Gill · $7.4K net·8 wallets·$7.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFelix Gill$14.1K@ 98¢·45hfgh56uj5j7o

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Felix Gill. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-16 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Gill and Menelaos Efstathiou in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Menelaos Efstathiou. This market will resolve to 'Menelaos Efstathiou' if Menelaos Efstathiou advances against Felix Gill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Felix Gill UP 4.4pp · near-book depth $2.6K → $4.8K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Felix Gill; negative values favor Menelaos Efstathiou. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFelix Gill · $0
6hFelix Gill · $40.1K
24hFelix Gill · $40.1K

Felix Gill price VWAP

Volume-weighted Felix Gill price. Menelaos Efstathiou fills are converted to the complementary Felix Gill probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h94.23¢▲ above by 5.8pp
VWAP 7d94.23¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Felix Gill price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$33.1K
90¢
$14.2K
85¢
$1.8K
80¢
$56
75¢
$205
70¢
$367
65¢
$1.5K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFelix Gill$14.1K@ 97.7¢
45hfgh56uj5j7o0x5498…126f
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

45hfgh56uj5j7oFelix Gill$23.4K
BUY VWAP 97.46¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.