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Orleans: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Martin Krumich

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $13.3KEvent: Orleans: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Martin Krumich

Polymarket indicative prices · 12 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

20.0¢
Cyril Vandermeersch
80.0¢
Martin Krumich
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection96Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$4.3K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMartin Krumich$1.4K@ 71¢·0xa0f2…1848

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Martin Krumich pressure: $4.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.1K
6h
−$4.1K
tracked
$4.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Martin Krumich · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Martin Krumich or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cyril Vandermeersch and Martin Krumich in the Orleans, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cyril Vandermeersch' if Cyril Vandermeersch advances against Martin Krumich. This market will resolve to 'Martin Krumich' if Martin Krumich advances against Cyril Vandermeersch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cyril Vandermeersch; negative values favor Martin Krumich. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMartin Krumich · $4.1K
6hMartin Krumich · $4.1K
24hMartin Krumich · $4.1K

Cyril Vandermeersch price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cyril Vandermeersch price. Martin Krumich fills are converted to the complementary Cyril Vandermeersch probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current20.0¢
VWAP 24h27.91¢▼ below by 7.9pp
VWAP 7d27.91¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cyril Vandermeersch price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$10
40¢
$3
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.2K
25¢
$2.4K
20¢
← now
$178
15¢
$437
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Cyril Vandermeersch vs. Martin Krumich: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢$1priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Martin Krumich
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Martin Krumich
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vandermeersch vs. Krumich: Match O/U 22.5
99.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vandermeersch vs. Krumich: Match O/U 23.5
99.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Martin Krumich (-1.5) vs Cyril Vandermeersch (+1.5)
0.35¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Vandermeersch vs. Krumich: Match O/U 21.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Cyril Vandermeersch (-1.5) vs Martin Krumich (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.