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Set Handicap: Jurij Rodionov (-1.5) vs Pedro Martinez (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $265Event: Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Jurij Rodionov
—
Pedro Martinez
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:1 trades$60 trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 34 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$60
6h
−$60
tracked
$60

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-16 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Jurij Rodionov" if Jurij Rodionov wins by 2 or more sets than Pedro Martinez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Pedro Martinez."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Jurij Rodionov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Pedro Martinez."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jurij Rodionov and Pedro Martinez in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jurij Rodionov" if Jurij Rodionov wins by 2 or more sets than Pedro Martinez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Pedro Martinez." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Jurij Rodionov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Pedro Martinez." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jurij Rodionov; negative values favor Pedro Martinez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPedro Martinez · $60
6hPedro Martinez · $60
24hPedro Martinez · $60

Jurij Rodionov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jurij Rodionov price. Pedro Martinez fills are converted to the complementary Jurij Rodionov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h55.0¢
VWAP 7d55.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jurij Rodionov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$60
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
74.5¢$158priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rodionov vs. Martinez: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rodionov vs. Martinez: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jurij Rodionov (-3.5) vs Pedro Martinez (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rodionov vs. Martinez: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jurij Rodionov vs. Pedro Martinez: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Pedro Martinez (-1.5) vs Jurij Rodionov (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.