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Set Handicap: Kilian Feldbausch (-1.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $33Event: Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Kilian Feldbausch
—
Tiago Pereira.
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%
24h sample:1 trades$3 trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1375 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$3

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-16 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kilian Feldbausch" if Kilian Feldbausch wins by 2 or more sets than Tiago Pereira, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tiago Pereira."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kilian Feldbausch can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tiago Pereira."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Tiago Pereira in the Monastir, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kilian Feldbausch" if Kilian Feldbausch wins by 2 or more sets than Tiago Pereira, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tiago Pereira." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kilian Feldbausch can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tiago Pereira." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kilian Feldbausch; negative values favor Tiago Pereira.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKilian Feldbausch · $0
6hKilian Feldbausch · $0
24hKilian Feldbausch · $3

Kilian Feldbausch price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kilian Feldbausch price. Tiago Pereira. fills are converted to the complementary Kilian Feldbausch probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h50.0¢
VWAP 7d50.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kilian Feldbausch price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Feldbausch vs. Pereira: Match O/U 21.5
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Set 2 Winner: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Feldbausch vs. Pereira: Match O/U 22.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.