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Knoxville: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $31.1KEvent: Knoxville: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

36.5¢
Alexis Galarneau
63.5¢
Stefan Kozlov
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection32Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets57Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 91%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:48 trades$22.6K trackedsource coverage 62%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Stefan Kozlov · $648 net·4 wallets·$730 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexis Galarneau$6.0K@ 38¢·Mastermoney

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Alexis Galarneau SETUP
What the tape says

Alexis Galarneau pressure: $6.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.1K
6h
+$214
tracked
$22.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: Stefan Kozlov · $648 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 91% · priority 60

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexis Galarneau or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-16 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Stefan Kozlov in the Knoxville, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Stefan Kozlov. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Kozlov' if Stefan Kozlov advances against Alexis Galarneau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Alexis Galarneau DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $415 → $33.7K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexis Galarneau; negative values favor Stefan Kozlov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexis Galarneau · $6.1K
6hAlexis Galarneau · $214
24hAlexis Galarneau · $185

Alexis Galarneau price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexis Galarneau price. Stefan Kozlov fills are converted to the complementary Alexis Galarneau probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.5¢
VWAP 24h37.36¢▼ below by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d37.36¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexis Galarneau price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$25
40¢
$10.1K
35¢
← now
$9.9K
30¢
$36
25¢
$201
20¢
$276
15¢
$1.9K
10¢
$23
5¢
$95
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.