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Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: RocketsLiquidity: $190.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $337.7KEvent: Nuggets vs. Rockets
100.0¢
Rockets payout
0.0¢
Nuggets payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:38 trades$153.7K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1105 min agoofficial metadata 1073 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nuggets · $8.4K net·9 wallets·$11.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRockets$82.6K@ 52¢·Lakersfan111

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Rockets. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-10 01:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rockets" if the Rockets win the game by 5 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nuggets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Nuggets and Rockets, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Rockets" if the Rockets win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nuggets". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 18h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 18h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $188.5K gross
mooseborzoi13 linked markets · $143.1K gross
quavoo11 linked markets · $73.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Rockets@ 53.0¢21h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Rockets@ 53.0¢21h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Rockets@ 52.0¢21h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Rockets DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $1.5K → $1.2K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rockets; negative values favor Nuggets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRockets · $248
6hRockets · $108.2K
24hRockets · $103.0K

Rockets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rockets price. Nuggets fills are converted to the complementary Rockets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.44¢▲ above by 48.6pp
VWAP 7d51.65¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rockets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$273
90¢
$12
85¢
$51
80¢
$50
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.6K
65¢
$342
60¢
$3
55¢
$76
50¢
$145.9K
45¢
$12.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$68
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRockets$82.6K@ 52.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYRockets$31.6K@ 51.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 22 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Rockets$114.3K
BUY VWAP 51.72¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.