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Spread: Western Michigan (-15.5)

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $55.1KEvent: Western Michigan vs. Akron

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.5¢
Western Michigan
49.5¢
Akron
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$26.6K trackedsource coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 57 min agoofficial metadata 46s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWestern Michigan$9.7K@ 51¢·FeedTheBigBird

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Akron pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.5K
6h
+$21.7K
tracked
$26.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Akron · $1.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 57 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Akron or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Western Michigan" if Western Michigan win the game by 16 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Akron".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Western Michigan and Akron, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Western Michigan" if Western Michigan win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Akron". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi6 linked markets · $100.4K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $3.8K gross
quavoo5 linked markets · $3.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Western Michigan; negative values favor Akron. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAkron · $1.5K
6hWestern Michigan · $21.7K
24hWestern Michigan · $23.5K

Western Michigan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Western Michigan price. Akron fills are converted to the complementary Western Michigan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h50.83¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d50.83¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Western Michigan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$24.7K
45¢
$1.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5)
51.5¢$97.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Michigan (-13.5)
55.5¢$39.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Michigan (-16.5)
45.5¢$34.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Western Michigan vs. Akron: O/U 49.5
52.5¢$26.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Western Michigan vs. Akron: O/U 51.5
47.5¢$11.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Western Michigan vs. Akron
85.5¢$10.1Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Michigan (-20.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Western Michigan (-0.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FeedTheBigBirdWestern Michigan$23.2K
BUY VWAP 51.13¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.