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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $2.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $8.0MEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Bilibili Gaming
0.05¢
Gen.G
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 71 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1550 trades$3.7M tracked4% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gen.G · $205.9K net·71 wallets(8🐋)·$1.0M gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBilibili Gaming$250.0K@ 100¢·fantasy7788

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Gen.G pressure: $732.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$732.8K
6h
−$1.0M
tracked
$3.7M

71 verified profitable wallets: Gen.G · $205.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +31.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 31.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Gen.G or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against Gen.G.

•This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Bilibili Gaming and Gen.G in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl3 linked markets · $1.5M gross
0x2c33…05636 linked markets · $691.6K gross
fantasy77885 linked markets · $590.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 69.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Bilibili Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Bilibili Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Bilibili Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Gen.G DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.9K → $9 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bilibili Gaming; negative values favor Gen.G. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGen.G · $732.8K
6hGen.G · $1.0M
24hGen.G · $1.0M

Bilibili Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bilibili Gaming price. Gen.G fills are converted to the complementary Bilibili Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h69.34¢▲ above by 30.6pp
VWAP 7d69.33¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Bilibili Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.5M
90¢
$7.8K
85¢
$10.4K
80¢
$9.7K
75¢
$40.3K
70¢
$148.5K
65¢
$97.7K
60¢
$95.2K
55¢
$107.0K
50¢
$270.5K
45¢
$192.2K
40¢
$1.2M
35¢
$36.9K
30¢
$37.4K
25¢
$6.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBilibili Gaming$20.0K@ 99.9¢
Donghui0x5877…d894
🐋—4 minutes ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$12.7K@ 99.9¢0x246b…fb5b🐋—27 minutes ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$250.0K@ 99.9¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$43.6K@ 99.9¢
chichilol0xf796…b208
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$50.0K@ 99.9¢
ipop000x8fbb…9a17
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$15.0K@ 99.9¢
callmenuts0xfa88…85a5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$78.8K@ 99.9¢
Username21330x0947…c1c9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$50.0K@ 99.9¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$70.1K@ 99.9¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$30.0K@ 99.9¢
ipop000x8fbb…9a17
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$10.7K@ 99.9¢0x483b…30c9🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$12.5K@ 99.9¢
JustADonk0x01e6…e7e0
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$36.9K@ 99.9¢
sange7720xde6a…80dc
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$30.2K@ 99.9¢
sdfqq10xce7d…898e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$13.5K@ 99.9¢
45hfgh56uj5j7o0x5498…126f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$201.1K@ 99.9¢
VPenguin0xfbf3…b218
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$109.8K@ 99.9¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$95.4K@ 99.9¢
olegio0x12ec…41ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$19.4K@ 99.9¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$28.8K@ 99.9¢
HGJGJPQ80x09dd…7e13
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$13.1K@ 97.07¢
45hfgh56uj5j7o0x5498…126f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G$10.3K@ 48.03¢
gvrgb326552g650x676c…e139
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G$10.0K@ 59.63¢
tntlym0xefca…73c6
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$10.5K@ 49.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$13.2K@ 50.0¢0xfe1a…a67f🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$19.5K@ 50.72¢
laopilao0xce29…3b0d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$12.8K@ 53.92¢
sange7720xde6a…80dc
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.8K@ 54.0¢
TeGeeLP0xe100…4d41
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$29.5K@ 59.0¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$11.8K@ 59.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$48.5K@ 41.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$38.0K@ 41.0¢
olegio0x12ec…41ae
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$38.0K@ 41.0¢
VPenguin0xfbf3…b218
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$24.0K@ 60.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$42.2K@ 41.0¢
VPenguin0xfbf3…b218
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$21.5K@ 41.0¢
drowsyclam76640x36bc…ba51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$64.8K@ 59.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$65.1K@ 59.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$29.4K@ 42.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$21.0K@ 42.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$15.0K@ 42.0¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$42.0K@ 42.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$17.4K@ 42.0¢
MaoZeDonK0x19ae…395c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$52.7K@ 42.0¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$30.0K@ 42.0¢
Ethanael020x38ac…f9b7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$11.5K@ 41.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$52.4K@ 42.0¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.5K@ 42.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.5K@ 42.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.5K@ 42.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
69.5¢$5.5Mpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
92.5¢$3.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
53.5¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
4.5¢$586.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
99.95¢$573.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
99.95¢$337.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
45.5¢$179.2Kpriority82Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)
0.05¢$159.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlGen.G$129.9K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills
fantasy7788Bilibili Gaming$105.1K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·2 fills
VPenguinBilibili Gaming$81.9K
BUY VWAP 41.02¢·3 fills
BreakTheBankGen.G$79.8K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52Bilibili Gaming$63.0K
BUY VWAP 42.00¢·7 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANBilibili Gaming$63.0K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·2 fills
Ethanael02Bilibili Gaming$48.5K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·2 fills
BrotherObamaBilibili Gaming$48.5K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
0xheavy888Bilibili Gaming$44.0K
BUY VWAP 57.52¢·14 fills
xytestBilibili Gaming$43.4K
BUY VWAP 61.19¢·17 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.