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Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel

Sports→TennisSettlement: Mattia BellucciLiquidity: $336.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $342.6KEvent: Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel
100.0¢
Mattia Bellucci payout
0.0¢
Cosme de Ravel payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:79 trades$204.6K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 59%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 549 min agoofficial metadata 531 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mattia Bellucci · $65.0K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$65.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMattia Bellucci$22.4K@ 92¢·keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mattia Bellucci. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-17 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Cosme de Ravel in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Cosme de Ravel. This market will resolve to 'Cosme de Ravel' if Cosme de Ravel advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mattia Bellucci@ 84.6¢10h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Mattia Bellucci@ 85.2¢10h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Mattia Bellucci@ 85.2¢10h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Mattia Bellucci@ 95.9¢10h ago
15m STALLED -1.2pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Mattia Bellucci UP 4.1pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $100 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mattia Bellucci; negative values favor Cosme de Ravel. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMattia Bellucci · $59.3K
6hMattia Bellucci · $104.1K
24hMattia Bellucci · $104.1K

Mattia Bellucci price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mattia Bellucci price. Cosme de Ravel fills are converted to the complementary Mattia Bellucci probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h90.51¢▲ above by 9.5pp
VWAP 7d90.51¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mattia Bellucci price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$58.2K
90¢
$85.8K
85¢
$6.3K
80¢
$30.1K
75¢
$24.2K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMattia Bellucci$22.0K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYMattia Bellucci$22.4K@ 92.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYMattia Bellucci$19.1K@ 92.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYMattia Bellucci$15.9K@ 97.0¢
45hfgh56uj5j7o0x5498…126f
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYMattia Bellucci$16.6K@ 80.73¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpMattia Bellucci$23.6K
BUY VWAP 90.72¢·5 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighMattia Bellucci$22.4K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill
LimousinMattia Bellucci$16.8K
BUY VWAP 92.21¢·3 fills
kkookkooMattia Bellucci$16.6K
BUY VWAP 80.73¢·1 fill
45hfgh56uj5j7oMattia Bellucci$15.9K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill
Vps1Cosme de Ravel$11.1K
BUY VWAP 19.28¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.