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Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover

● quote 10 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $85.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $92.9KEvent: Lima: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover

Indicative prices · 10 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Gonzalo Bueno
0.1¢
Carlos Sanchez Jover
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution28Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:74 trades$32.4K trackedsource coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gonzalo Bueno · $8.2K net·5 wallets·$8.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGonzalo Bueno$2.5K@ 78¢·Limousin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Carlos Sanchez Jover pressure: $1.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.7K
6h
+$20.1K
tracked
$32.4K

5 verified profitable wallets: Gonzalo Bueno · $8.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 10 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Carlos Sanchez Jover or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Bueno and Carlos Sanchez Jover in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Bueno' if Gonzalo Bueno advances against Carlos Sanchez Jover. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Sanchez Jover' if Carlos Sanchez Jover advances against Gonzalo Bueno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Gonzalo Bueno UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $72.5K → $32.6K · 36s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gonzalo Bueno; negative values favor Carlos Sanchez Jover. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCarlos Sanchez Jover · $1.7K
6hGonzalo Bueno · $20.1K
24hGonzalo Bueno · $20.2K

Gonzalo Bueno price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gonzalo Bueno price. Carlos Sanchez Jover fills are converted to the complementary Gonzalo Bueno probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h84.49¢▲ above by 15.4pp
VWAP 7d84.49¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gonzalo Bueno price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.2K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$12.6K
80¢
$2.5K
75¢
$2.8K
70¢
$995
65¢
$2.8K
60¢
$37
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$104
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
$150
30¢
$0
25¢
$80
20¢
$16
15¢
$44
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.